Earthquake Forecasting Blog

 

 

 



Log Entry #247 Sat Dec 15 [00:29 UTC]
Saturday, 15 December 2012 00:29

Dim lights

Targeting the remnants of a filament eruption on the solar corona, associated with this event was a Solar Tsunami.
A small coronal hole has developed at (21-23° N latitude) and may be indicative of a strong shallow earthquake
in the coming days. Possible locations for this event are listed below:

Taiwan
Mariana Islands Region
Myanmar
Gulf Of California


Forecast - (5.2-5.5 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 18-19

*Confirmed
Via USGS*
4.7
2012/12/20 05:56:05 (22.925) 96.103     9.7 MYANMAR


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000ed7b.php

 
*Log Entry #246 Thu Dec 13 [04:16 UTC]
Thursday, 13 December 2012 04:16

Dim lights

Targeting a very large unnumbered positive polarity Coronal Hole in the southern Hemisphere of the solar
corona. After close analysis of the region, i have isolated (33-40°Latitude) for the likely location for this 
possible 7 magnitude earthquake in one of these listed locations below:


Chile (Araucania/Bio-Bio/Maule)
Kermadec Islands Region
North Island Of New Zealand
(Bay Of Plenty/Gisborne/Taupo)
Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

*Volcano Activation Watch*
Ruapehu, North Island, New Zealand
White Island, New Zealand


Forecast - (6.7-7.0 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 15-17

*No Significant Earthquake Registered*

* Update *
Volcanic Eruption
*Copahue Argentina/Chile*
37.85 S, 71.17 W
An eruption occurred at Copahue volcano on 22nd December 2012. Ash reached an altitude of 31,000ft
and extended 110 km southeast of the volcano. Satellite images showed sulphur dioxide plume from Copahue
eruption reached Tristan da Cunha in the south Atlantic Ocean 2700km ENE of the volcano on 24th.


 
Log Entry #245 Tue Dec 11 [08:40 UTC]
Tuesday, 11 December 2012 08:40

Dim lights

Targeting a negative polarity unnumbered Coronal Hole situated in the northern hemisphere of the solar corona.
After further analysis i have isolated (27-31°N latitude), this feature may produce a possible 6.4 Magnitude
earthquake in one of these listed locations during this watch period:


Southeastern Iran
Bonin Islands/Izu Islands
Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
Gulf Of California


*Volcano Activation*
El Hierro, Canary Islands

Forecast - (5.9-6.4  Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 13-14


*Confirmed
Via USGS*
6.3
2012/12/14 10:36:02     (31.213) -119.560     11.3 OFF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000e9sl.php

 
Log Entry #244 Fri Dec 7 [21:31 UTC]
Friday, 07 December 2012 21:31

Dim lights

A deep earthquake recorded in the North Island Of New Zealand Today (166km) on Dec 7th, indicates a strong
meridian migration moving north which should produce a strong kinetic release into the Kermadec Islands Region
in the coming days. Possible locations for this event are:


Kermadec Islands Region (Raoul Island)
South Of The Fiji Islands
South Of Tonga


Forecast - (6.4-6.7 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 8-10*

*USGS Reports*
5.5
2012/12/13 00:53:32 (-30.928) -178.252     64.9 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND



*GNS Science Reports*
12 December 2012, 1:30 pm - Spiny lava dome – a new and unusual style of eruptive activity at White Island.
Volcanic Alert is raised to Level 2; Aviation Colour Code changed to Orange

 
Log Entry #243 Fri Dec 7 [04:59 UTC]
Friday, 07 December 2012 04:59

Dim lights

Two earthquakes recorded in the Bouvet Island Region Dec 6&7, indicates a strong meridian migration
moving north east which should produce a strong kinetic release through the African plate into the western
side of the Indian Plate. Possible locations for this event are:


India (Haryana)
India-Pakistan
Border Region
Eastern Kashmir

Pakistan (Punjab)
Hindu Kush Region Afghanistan


Forecast - (5.2-5.5 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 8-10*

*USGS Reports*
4.3
2012/12/09 00:14:08 (27.956) 57.369     10.1 SOUTHERN IRAN


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000e6w9.php

 
Log Entry #242 Thur Dec 6 [00:55 UTC]
Thursday, 06 December 2012 00:55

A deep earthquake recorded in the Fiji Region yesterday (617km) on Dec 5th, indicates a strong meridian
migration moving north west which should produce a strong kinetic release through the Australian plate into
Indonesia/Papua New Guinea region. Possible locations for this event are:


New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea
Papua Indonesia
Eastern New Guinea Region, Papua New Guinea
New Ireland Region, Papua New Guinea


Forecast - (5.5-5.8 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 7-8

*Confirmed
Via USGS*
5.6     2012/12/07 19:50:21       (-7.633)        146.963     118.9    EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000e59p.php

 
Log Entry #241 Wed Dec 5 [02:37 UTC]
Wednesday, 05 December 2012 02:37

Dim lights

Targeting a very deep southern polar coronal hole situated at (63-71°), indicates a possible shallow earthquake
in the coming days at high latitudes felt here on the Earth. Possible locations for this event are:


Balleny Islands
Pacific Antarctic Ridge

South Shetland Islands
South Pacific Ocean
Antarctica


Forecast - (5.6-5.9 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 5-7

*USGS Reports*
5.1
2012/12/07 01:35:09 (-54.09)       -1.928 17.4 BOUVET ISLAND REGION
5.0
2012/12/06 16:52:25 (-56.08)       -27.40 103 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
4.9
2012/12/06 15:46:51 (-54.03)       -1.964 18.7 BOUVET ISLAND REGION

 
Log Entry #240 Mon Dec 3 [03:03 UTC]
Monday, 03 December 2012 03:03

Dim lights

A deep earthquake recorded in the Fiji Region yesterday (605km) on Dec 2nd, indicates a strong meridian
migration moving north west which should produce a strong kinetic release through the Australian plate into
Indonesia/Papua New Guinea region. Possible locations for this event are:


New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea
Eastern New Guinea Region, Papua New Guinea
Papua Indonesia
New Ireland Region, Papua New Guinea


Forecast - (5.3-5.6 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 4-6

*Confirmed
Via USGS*
5.1 2012/12/07 02:25:46  (-5.301) 151.427       94.2 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

 
Log Entry #239 Sun Dec 2 [02:18 UTC]
Sunday, 02 December 2012 02:18

Dim lights

Targeting positive polarity Coronal Hole in the southern Hemisphere of the Solar Corona (40-44°). Analysis
of this feature may indicate strong shaking at the mapped corresponding latitude felt here on earth. The
best mapped regions that may receive a possible 5.4 magnitude earthquake are:

Cook Strait, New Zealand
North Island Of New Zealand (Wellington)
South Island of New Zealand (Marlborough/West Coast)
Los Lagos, Chile
Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge


*Volcano Activation Watch*
Ruapehu, North Islands, New Zealand

Forecast - (4.9-5.4 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 4-5

*Confirmed Via USGS*
6.3 2012/12/07 18:19:08      (-38.334) 176.044     167.2      NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND


*Confirmed
Via Geonet*
M 5.4
December 7 2012 at 7:46:12 (-41.54), 171.36 20km 30 km north-west of Westport


*Geonet deleted this EQ report 90 mins later*

Official explanation by Geonet to the Commission of Inquiry was "not to alarm the
public and
not report or under-rate events that are not felt or recorded"

 
*Log Entry #238 Tue Nov 27 [06:25 UTC]
Tuesday, 27 November 2012 06:25

Dim lights

Targeting a very strong negative polarity Coronal Hole (CH546) which is just above the equator on
the solar corona. After analysis an area isolated to (1-6°N Latitude) may produce an impulsive earthquake
felt here on Earth. Possible locations for this event are:

Northern Sumatra, Indonesia
Nicobar Islands, India Region
South Of Panama/Colombia
Celebes Sea

*Volcano Activation*
Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia
Machín Volcano, Colombia

Forecast - (6.3-6.6 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests November 29-30

*USGS Reports*
5.9
2012/11/29 11:10:23 (-3.469) 145.576     10.3 NEAR NORTH COAST OF NEW GUINEA, P.N.G

 
Log Entry #237 Sun Nov 25 [00:04 UTC]
Sunday, 25 November 2012 00:04

A deep earthquake recorded in the Fiji Region yesterday (549km) on Nov 24th, indicates a strong meridian
migration moving north west which should produce a strong kinetic release through the Australian plate into
Indonesia/Papua New Guinea region. Possible locations for this event are:


New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea
Papua Indonesia
New Ireland Region, Papua New Guinea
Eastern New Guinea Region, Papua New Guinea



Forecast - (5.2-5.5 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests November 26-27

*Confirmed
Via USGS*
5.2
2012/11/27 11:58:21 (-2.755) 138.742     59.0 PAPUA, INDONESIA


 
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