Earthquake Forecasting Blog

 

 

 



Log Entry #255 Sun Dec 30 [02:19 UTC]
Sunday, 30 December 2012 02:19

Dim lights

Targeting an unnumbered Coronal Hole in the Northern Hemisphere of the solar corona. A large coronal
hole has developed at (45-55° N latitude) and may be indicative of a strong impulsive earthquake in the
coming days. Possible locations for this event are listed below:


Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska
Rat Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska
Fox Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska

Kamchatka Peninsula
Queen Charlotte Islands, Canada Region


Forecast - (5.8-6.2 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests January 2-4

*USGS Reports*
M 7.5
2013/01/05 08:58:20 (55.368) -134.621     9.8   SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000ejqv.php

 
Log Entry #254 Wed Dec 26 [09:14 UTC]
Wednesday, 26 December 2012 09:14

Dim lights

A deep earthquake recorded in the Fiji Region today (589km) on Dec 26th, indicates a strong meridian
migration moving north west which should produce a strong kinetic release through the Australian plate into
Indonesia/Papua New Guinea region. Possible locations for this event are:


Papua Indonesia
New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea
Eastern New Guinea Region, Papua New Guinea
New Ireland Region, Papua New Guinea


Forecast - (5.2-5.5 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 27-28

*Confirmed
Via USGS*
M 6.0
2012/12/29 07:59:42 (-3.492) 148.832    10.1  BISMARCK SEA


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000ehxl.php

 
Log Entry #253 Tue Dec 25 [06:59 UTC]
Tuesday, 25 December 2012 06:59

(As per current Earthquake Watch) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9yQhdSHP7wY

Targeting a strong negative polarity Coronal Hole in the Southern Hemisphere, after analysis i have isolated
(38-44° latitude) as an area that may produce a 6.5 magnitude earthquake during this watch in one of
these listed locations:


Bio-Bio/Araucania/Los Lagos, Chile
Cabut Argentina
North Island Of New Zealand
Cook Strait, New Zealand
South Island New Zealand (Christchurch)



Forecast - (6.2-6.5  Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 29-30

*Geonet Reports*
Magnitude  5.0   December 31 2012 at 14:11:10    -39.29, 173.57   5 km   30 km north-west of Opunake

 
Log Entry #252 Tue Dec 25 [06:53 UTC]
Tuesday, 25 December 2012 06:53

(As per current Earthquake Watch)

Targeting a negative polarity trans-equatorial Coronal Hole (CH548). After further analysis i have isolated (1-6°S latitude),
this feature may produce one or two possible 7.0 Magnitude earthquake in one of these listed locations during this
watch period:


Banda Sea
Papua New Guinea
Eastern Papua New Guinea



Forecast - (6.7-7.0  Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 26-28

*USGS Reports*

M 6.0 2012/12/29 07:59:42 (-3.492) 148.832    10.1  BISMARCK SEA


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000ehxl.php

 
*Log Entry #251 Sun Dec 23 [00:13 UTC]
Sunday, 23 December 2012 00:13

(As per current Earthquake Watch)

Targeting a strong negative polarity Coronal Hole(CH548) situated in the northern hemisphere of the solar corona.
After close analysis i have isolated a region (2-7° latitude), mapped symmetry from Sun to the Earth indicate a
potential for a 6.8 Magnitude earthquake in one of these listed locations during this watch period:


Celebes Sea/Mindanao, Philippines
Northern Sumatra, Indonesia
Nicobar Islands, India Region
South Of Panama/Colombia


*Volcano Activation*
Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia
Machín Volcano, Colombia

Forecast - (6.5-6.8  Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 26-28

*USGS Reports*
5.5      2012/12/28 17:32:17       (-0.245)       122.940     104.4      SULAWESI, INDONESIA


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000eh40.php

 
Log Entry #250 Thu Dec 20 [10:04 UTC]
Thursday, 20 December 2012 10:04

Dim lights

Targeting an unnumbered Coronal Hole in the Northern Hemisphere of the solar corona. A small coronal
hole has developed at (21-25° N latitude) and may be indicative of a strong shallow earthquake in the
coming days. Possible locations for this event are listed below:

Yunnan, China
Taiwan
Volcano Islands, Japan Region
Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
Gulf Of California


Forecast - (5.5-5.8 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 22-24

*Confirmed
Via USGS*
5.5
2012/12/22 16:41:45 (22.430) 94.753     126.6 MYANMAR


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000eewi.php

*Confirmed
Via EMSC*
M 5.4
2012-12-22      03:24:34.0 (22.04)N 121.48E  16km  TAIWAN REGION


http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=297919

 
*Log Entry #249 Sun Dec 16 [02:07 UTC]
Sunday, 16 December 2012 02:07

Dim lights

Targeting a small fissure in the southern Hemisphere of the Solar Corona (43-48°). Analysis of this
feature may indicate strong shaking at the mapped corresponding latitude felt here on earth. The
best mapped regions that may receive a possible 5.0 magnitude earthquake are:


South Island Of New Zealand (Christchurch)
South Island of New Zealand  (Alpine Fault)
Aisen, Chile
Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

Forecast - (4.7-5.0 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 18-19

*USGS Reports*
4.7
2012/12/19 15:19:54 (-52.316) 139.389     10.0 WEST OF MACQUARIE ISLAND


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2012jial.php

 
Log Entry #248 Sat Dec 15 [01:04 UTC]
Saturday, 15 December 2012 01:04

Dim lights

A very powerful Halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) was ejected off the solar corona at04:18UT Dec 14th, the
energetic nature of this blast indicate a high potential for a broad area of low pressure circulation to develop in
11-14 days at (10-14 Degrees South Latitude). The mapped symmetry with sun to earth indicates a Category
3 or 4 Topical Cyclone
development in one of these zones listed below:


Timor Sea - Beagle Gulf
Gulf Of Carpentaria
Indian Ocean
(Northwest Of Australia)


Forecast - (Tropical Cyclone Category 3 or 4)
Time Frame
suggests December 26-29

*Forecast Confirmed*


 
Log Entry #247 Sat Dec 15 [00:29 UTC]
Saturday, 15 December 2012 00:29

Dim lights

Targeting the remnants of a filament eruption on the solar corona, associated with this event was a Solar Tsunami.
A small coronal hole has developed at (21-23° N latitude) and may be indicative of a strong shallow earthquake
in the coming days. Possible locations for this event are listed below:

Taiwan
Mariana Islands Region
Myanmar
Gulf Of California


Forecast - (5.2-5.5 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 18-19

*Confirmed
Via USGS*
4.7
2012/12/20 05:56:05 (22.925) 96.103     9.7 MYANMAR


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000ed7b.php

 
*Log Entry #246 Thu Dec 13 [04:16 UTC]
Thursday, 13 December 2012 04:16

Dim lights

Targeting a very large unnumbered positive polarity Coronal Hole in the southern Hemisphere of the solar
corona. After close analysis of the region, i have isolated (33-40°Latitude) for the likely location for this 
possible 7 magnitude earthquake in one of these listed locations below:


Chile (Araucania/Bio-Bio/Maule)
Kermadec Islands Region
North Island Of New Zealand
(Bay Of Plenty/Gisborne/Taupo)
Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

*Volcano Activation Watch*
Ruapehu, North Island, New Zealand
White Island, New Zealand


Forecast - (6.7-7.0 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 15-17

*No Significant Earthquake Registered*

* Update *
Volcanic Eruption
*Copahue Argentina/Chile*
37.85 S, 71.17 W
An eruption occurred at Copahue volcano on 22nd December 2012. Ash reached an altitude of 31,000ft
and extended 110 km southeast of the volcano. Satellite images showed sulphur dioxide plume from Copahue
eruption reached Tristan da Cunha in the south Atlantic Ocean 2700km ENE of the volcano on 24th.


 
Log Entry #245 Tue Dec 11 [08:40 UTC]
Tuesday, 11 December 2012 08:40

Dim lights

Targeting a negative polarity unnumbered Coronal Hole situated in the northern hemisphere of the solar corona.
After further analysis i have isolated (27-31°N latitude), this feature may produce a possible 6.4 Magnitude
earthquake in one of these listed locations during this watch period:


Southeastern Iran
Bonin Islands/Izu Islands
Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
Gulf Of California


*Volcano Activation*
El Hierro, Canary Islands

Forecast - (5.9-6.4  Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 13-14


*Confirmed
Via USGS*
6.3
2012/12/14 10:36:02     (31.213) -119.560     11.3 OFF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000e9sl.php

 
Log Entry #244 Fri Dec 7 [21:31 UTC]
Friday, 07 December 2012 21:31

Dim lights

A deep earthquake recorded in the North Island Of New Zealand Today (166km) on Dec 7th, indicates a strong
meridian migration moving north which should produce a strong kinetic release into the Kermadec Islands Region
in the coming days. Possible locations for this event are:


Kermadec Islands Region (Raoul Island)
South Of The Fiji Islands
South Of Tonga


Forecast - (6.4-6.7 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 8-10*

*USGS Reports*
5.5
2012/12/13 00:53:32 (-30.928) -178.252     64.9 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND



*GNS Science Reports*
12 December 2012, 1:30 pm - Spiny lava dome – a new and unusual style of eruptive activity at White Island.
Volcanic Alert is raised to Level 2; Aviation Colour Code changed to Orange

 
Log Entry #243 Fri Dec 7 [04:59 UTC]
Friday, 07 December 2012 04:59

Dim lights

Two earthquakes recorded in the Bouvet Island Region Dec 6&7, indicates a strong meridian migration
moving north east which should produce a strong kinetic release through the African plate into the western
side of the Indian Plate. Possible locations for this event are:


India (Haryana)
India-Pakistan
Border Region
Eastern Kashmir

Pakistan (Punjab)
Hindu Kush Region Afghanistan


Forecast - (5.2-5.5 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 8-10*

*USGS Reports*
4.3
2012/12/09 00:14:08 (27.956) 57.369     10.1 SOUTHERN IRAN


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000e6w9.php

 
Log Entry #242 Thur Dec 6 [00:55 UTC]
Thursday, 06 December 2012 00:55

A deep earthquake recorded in the Fiji Region yesterday (617km) on Dec 5th, indicates a strong meridian
migration moving north west which should produce a strong kinetic release through the Australian plate into
Indonesia/Papua New Guinea region. Possible locations for this event are:


New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea
Papua Indonesia
Eastern New Guinea Region, Papua New Guinea
New Ireland Region, Papua New Guinea


Forecast - (5.5-5.8 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 7-8

*Confirmed
Via USGS*
5.6     2012/12/07 19:50:21       (-7.633)        146.963     118.9    EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc000e59p.php

 
Log Entry #241 Wed Dec 5 [02:37 UTC]
Wednesday, 05 December 2012 02:37

Dim lights

Targeting a very deep southern polar coronal hole situated at (63-71°), indicates a possible shallow earthquake
in the coming days at high latitudes felt here on the Earth. Possible locations for this event are:


Balleny Islands
Pacific Antarctic Ridge

South Shetland Islands
South Pacific Ocean
Antarctica


Forecast - (5.6-5.9 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 5-7

*USGS Reports*
5.1
2012/12/07 01:35:09 (-54.09)       -1.928 17.4 BOUVET ISLAND REGION
5.0
2012/12/06 16:52:25 (-56.08)       -27.40 103 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
4.9
2012/12/06 15:46:51 (-54.03)       -1.964 18.7 BOUVET ISLAND REGION

 
Log Entry #240 Mon Dec 3 [03:03 UTC]
Monday, 03 December 2012 03:03

Dim lights

A deep earthquake recorded in the Fiji Region yesterday (605km) on Dec 2nd, indicates a strong meridian
migration moving north west which should produce a strong kinetic release through the Australian plate into
Indonesia/Papua New Guinea region. Possible locations for this event are:


New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea
Eastern New Guinea Region, Papua New Guinea
Papua Indonesia
New Ireland Region, Papua New Guinea


Forecast - (5.3-5.6 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests December 4-6

*Confirmed
Via USGS*
5.1 2012/12/07 02:25:46  (-5.301) 151.427       94.2 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

 
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