Earthquake Forecasting Blog


Log Entry #19 - Sunday Sep 25th (11.31 pm AEST) Print E-mail

New Coronal Hole (CH477) on the solar corona has formed across the 18-22° South Latitude zones. Solar
symmetry does indicate a strong earthquake is possible. Areas that could be affected are:

 

Loyalty Islands
Fiji Region
Vanuatu Region
Tonga

 

Forecast - (5.7-6.1 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Sep 30

*USGS Indicates Earthquake Swarm*

5.2 2011/09/27   17:42:33      -22.887 171.933      39.4      SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS
5.3 2011/09/28   17:36:14      -22.941 171.841      21.4      SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS
5.1 2011/09/28   17:56:34      -22.953 171.940      19.9      SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS
5.1 2011/10/01   23:20:15      -25.052 -179.786      523      SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS

 
Log Entry #18 - Sunday Sep 25th (11.16 pm AEST) Print E-mail

Coronal crack has opened at 23-29° North Latitude region, solar symmetry indicates a sharp shallow earthquake
is possible from this feature. Areas that could be affected are:

 

Baja California, Mexico
Sonoro, Mexico
Northern Mid Atlantic Ridge
North Atlantic Ocean

 

Forecast - (5.0-5.3 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Sep 28-29

*USGS Update*

4.8      2011/09/28 23:17:46       18.259 -101.420      67.2      GUERRERO, MEXICO

 
Log Entry #17 - Sunday Sep 25th (11.01 pm AEST) Print E-mail

Very deep earthquake that registered 5.1 Magnitude in the Fiji Region(380km) back on the 24th September indicates
a possble shallow earthquake along the meridian towards the indonesian/papua new guinea junction . Areas that
could be affected by this meridian migration are:

 

Papua, Indonesia
New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea

 

Forecast - (5.1-5.4 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Sep 27-28

*Confirmed Via USGS*

4.6      2011/09/28 22:45:37       -2.341 134.245      29.2      NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA
4.8      2011/09/28 22:30:18       -3.246 130.796      45.9      SERAM, INDONESIA

 
Log Entry #16 - Wednesday Sep 21st (10.10 am AEST) Print E-mail

Coronal crack on the solar corona has split into two separate features across the 39-41° and 42-44° South Latitude
zones. Solar symmetry does indicate one or two events. These events are expected a day after a smaller earthquake
at higher latitude(Sandwich Islands/Buvet Islands/Auckland Islands Regions 51-54°). Areas that could be affected are:

 

North Island, New Zealand
Christchurch, New Zealand
Aisen, Chile

 

Forecast - (4.8-5.1 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Sep 25-26

*USGS Update*

4.8      2011/09/22 04:43:06      -57.812 -25.885    53.8      SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
4.8      2011/09/24 13:26:41      -42.787 -82.672      9.8      WEST CHILE RISE

 
Log Entry #15 - Tuesday Sep 20th (11.51 pm AEST) Print E-mail

Large coronal crack stretching along 56-60° North Latitudes. Solar symmetry and Outgoing LongWave Radiation
Anomalies (OLR) does indicate a significant Earthquake is possible. Areas that could be affected are:

 

Southern Alaska
Gulf Of Alaska
Alaskan Peninsula
Kodak Islands Region, Alaska
Koryanskiy, Russia

*Possible Volcanic activation Kamchatka Peninsula*

Forecast - (5.8-6.3 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Sep 25-26

*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.3      2011/09/26 01:02:57       63.454 -126.330        2.9      NORTHWEST TERRITORIES, CANADA
4.8      2011/09/26 05:22:21       54.666 160.202     101.5      NEAR THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA

 
Log Entry #14 - Friday Sep 16th (10.31 pm AEST) Print E-mail

Coronal crack on the solar corona has formed 47-53° South Latitude and does look like an ocean based
earthquake and possibly deep(100km+). areas that could be affected are:

 

Auckland Islands Region
Macquarie Islands Region
South Of Africa
South Sandwich Islands Region


Forecast - (4.9-5.3 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Sep 19

*USGS Update*

4.8      2011/09/22 04:43:06      -57.812 -25.885    53.8      SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

 
Log Entry #13 - Friday Sep 16th (10.01 pm AEST) Print E-mail

A coronal shadow located 27-31° South Latitude has opened up strongly in the last 48 hours, analysis indicates
an ocean based event is more likely which could represent a significant earthquake for one of these regions:

 

Kermadec Islands Region
Valpairiso, Chile
San Juan, Argentina
Southern East-Pacific Rise

 

Forecast - (5.5-5.9 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Sep 18-19

*USGS Confirmed*

5.2      2011/09/20 06:05:36      -38.247 -17.104      10.0      SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

 
Log Entry #12 - Thursday Sep 15th (11.53 pm AEST) Print E-mail

Very Deep earthquake in Fiji that registered 5.5 Magnitude reached a depth of around 370km, i would expect
a larger and shallower Earthquake to migrate along the meridian inside of 72 hours. Possible areas affected could be:

 

Papua, Indonesia
New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea


Forecast - (5.9-6.3 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Sep 17-18

*Confirmed Swarm Via USGS*

5.3   2011/09/18 23:09:18 -2.155 125.058 5.11  KEPULAUAN SULA, INDONESIA
4.7   2011/09/19 21:31:47 -5.587 149.325   172  NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
4.8   2011/09/20 02:31:07 -0.643 131.607 40.7 NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA
4.8   2011/09/20 03:48:49 -3.521 135.487 38.1 PAPUA, INDONESIA

 
Log Entry #11 - Sunday Sep 11th (11.49 pm AEST) Print E-mail

(As per Earthquake watch video Sep 15-18)
Coronal depression has formed 42-44° South Latitude, early assessment indicates a strong shallow
earthquake is possible from this feature on the solar corona. Best mapped regions that could be
in line for this shallow earthquake are :


Christchurch, New Zealand
Aisen Chile
South Of Australia


Forecast - (4.7-5.1 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Sep 16

*Geonet Confirmation*

4.4 Magnitude
2011/10/16 17:27 41.13°S, 174.69°E 50km  Wellington, New Zealand

 
Log Entry #10 - Sunday Sep 11th (11.33pm AEST) Print E-mail

Strong and well developed coronal hole has formed close to 38-41° North Latitude indicates a possible
strong earthquake swarm along this latitude or a possible sharp impulsive earthquake in one of these areas:


Honshu, Japan Region
Western Xizang, China
Hindu Kush region, Afghanistan
Caspian Sea
Turkey


Forecast - (5.3-5.8 Magnitude)
Time Frame Sep 14-15


*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.0      2011/09/14 03:35:32       37.203 22.012      22.0      SOUTHERN GREECE
6.2      2011/09/15 08:00:07       36.289 141.308    10.0      NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
5.1      2011/09/15 15:27:02       36.383 82.528        6.5      SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA

 
Log Entry #9 - Sunday Sep 11th (11.13pm AEST) Print E-mail

Complex coronal cracks are showing an event 37-40° South Latitude, this possible event looks like it could be
a very deep earthquake (100km+), possible areas that could recieve this event are:


North Island, New Zealand
South Pacific Ocean
Los Logos, Chile
Araucania, Chile


Forecast - (4.9-5.3 Magnitude)
Time Frame Sep 14-15th


*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.6      2011/09/14 13:36:38      -35.133 -179.049     40.8      EAST OF THE NORTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND
6.0      2011/09/15 07:53:12      -35.430 -177.878     13.4      EAST OF THE NORTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND

 
Log Entry #8 - Sunday Sep 11th (11.03pm AEST) Print E-mail

Strong hole on the solar corona above a large active region has formed along the 28-31° North Latitudes,
strong earthquake is expected from this feature with the best fit mapped regions to earth are as follows:


Gulf Of California
Bonin Islands, Japan
Kyushu, Japan
Southern Iran



Forecast - (4.7-5.0 Magnitude)
Time Frame Sep 14-15


*Confirmed Via USGS*

4.1      2011/09/14 14:44:51       33.953 -117.076      16.9      GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA

 
Log Entry #7 - Sunday Sep 11th (10.49pm AEST) Print E-mail

(As per Earthquake watch video Sep 15-18)
Long lateral crack extending 21-26° South Latitude on the solar corona looks like it may produce an ocean based
earthquake, possible areas in play are:

 

Tonga
Kermadec Islands
Loyalty Islands
Easter Island

 

Forecast - (7.0-7.2 Magnitude)
Time Frame Sep 15-16

 

*Confirmed Via USGS*

7.3 2011/09/15 19:31:03      -21.559 -179.369     626.1      FIJI REGION

 
Log Entry #6 - Sunday Sep 11th (10.28pm AEST) Print E-mail

Strong coronal feature adjacent to an un-numbered active region located above disk center at 16-18° North Latitude,
indicates a deep earthquake could be possible in one of these regions:

 

Oaxico Mexico 
Puerto Rico
Mariana Islands
Luzon Philippines

Forecast -  (5.3-5.8 Magnitude)
Time Frame is Sep 13-14

 

*Confirmed Via USG*

*5.1 2011/09/15 08:43:07       19.563 -78.008      5.0      CUBA REGION

*Downgraded from 6.1

 
Log Entry #5 - Sunday Sep 11th (9.59pm AEST) Print E-mail

Fast moving CH along the 8-13° North latitude region looks like it may produce a significant earthquake, areas
best symmetrically mapped from solar corona to earth are :

 

Costa Rica
El Salvador
Andaman Islands
Mindoro Philippines
Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

Forecast - (5.6-6.0 Magnitude)
Time Frame is Sep 13-14


*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.7      2011/09/13 04:49:38       5.633 -77.502      25.7      NEAR THE WEST COAST OF COLOMBIA

 
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