Earthquake Forecasting Blog


Log Entry #34 - Monday Nov 28th (11.54 AM AEST) Print E-mail

Very deep earthquake recorded South Of The Fiji Islands (508km) Nov 28, indicates a strong meridian migration moving north-west
which should produce a strong kinetic release through the Australian plate into Indonesia/Papua New Guinea region. Possible
locations for this event are:


Papua Indonesia
Near The Coast Of Papua, Indonesia
New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea



Forecast - (5.2-5.5 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Nov 30-Dec 1st

*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.4
2011/12/01   22:53:37       -0.660 121.936      10.2      SULAWESI, INDONESIA

 
Log Entry #33 - Friday Nov 25th (2.44PM AEST) Print E-mail

Strong coronal hole (CH486) turning the south-eastern limb yesterday indicates a possible significant earthquake towards the
end of the month. Early analysis shows strong lateral movement and very deep coronal characteristics. This feature may
produce a strong earthquake at close too 23-28° S Latitude. Possible locations for this event are:


Antofagasta Chile
Santiago Del Estero Argentina
Kermadec Islands Region
Easter Islands



Forecast - (5.8-6.1 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Dec 1-2nd


*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.0 2011/12/03    10:29:44      -21.541 -71.565      32.9      OFF THE COAST OF ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE

 
Log Entry #32 - Friday Nov 25th (2.39PM AEST) Print E-mail

Newly formed southern Polar Coronal Hole has extended strongly to lower latitudes.  I have isolated a region at 35-37° S latitude which
could produce a strong earthquake. Possible location for this earthquake are:


Off The East Coast Of New Zealand
Southern-East Pacific Rise
Mauli Chile
Bio-Bio Chile
Mendoza Argentina



Forecast - (5.0-5.4 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Nov 29-30


*Confirmed Via USGS
*

5.0 2011/12/01    09:57:19      -39.405 -91.199      10.0      WEST CHILE RISE

 
Log Entry #31 - Friday Nov 25th (1.59 PM AEST) Print E-mail

Very deep earthquake recorded in the Fiji Region (622km) on Nov 24 indicates a strong meridian migration moving north-west which
should produce a strong kinetic release through the Australian plate. Possible locations for this event are:

Papua Indonesia
Near The Coast Of Papua, Indonesia
New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea



Forecast - (5.4-5.8 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Nov 26-27th


*Confirmed Via USGS*

6.4 2011/11/28    12:26:49       -5.532 153.680      50.4      NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
5.3 2011/11/28    14:27:57       -5.549 153.662      56.5      NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

 
Log Entry #30 - Friday Nov 25th (1.55PM AEST) Print E-mail

Remnants from a magnetic filament on the solar corona has left a strong coronal depression which could indicate a strong earthquake
close to 41-44° North latitude. Possible location for this earthquake are:


Central Italy
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Georgia
Off The Coast Of Oregon
Southern Idaho
Western Montana


Forecast - (5.3-5.6 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Nov 27-29th


*USGS Update*

4.9 2011/11/27    10:14:12       45.439 99.228      14.2      CENTRAL MONGOLIA

 
Log Entry #29 - Friday Nov 25th (1.49 PM AEST) Print E-mail

Small coronal shadow had appeared at high latitude in the southern hemisphere. This could be an indication of a possible earthquake
swarm or a strong earthquake at 57-59°. Possible locations for this event are:


South Sandwich Islands Region
Macquarie Islands Region



Forecast - (5.0-5.3 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Nov 26-27th


*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.2
2011/11/29   17:01:49     -54.496 158.123      6.8      MACQUARIE ISLAND REGION

 
Log Entry #28 - Thursday Oct 20th (11.49 AM AEST) Print E-mail

Todays earthquake swarm in Hawaii has a symmetric matching feature on the solar corona, trailing this feature another strong
coronal feature will rotate into a position in the next 24-36 hours which could indicate a strong earthquake close to 22-25°
North latitude. Possible location for this earthquake are:

 

Gulf Of California
Taiwan
Northern-Mid Atlantic Ridge
Myanmar
Yunnan, China

 

Forecast - (5.3 Magnitude)
Time Frame suggests Oct 21-22

*USGS Update*

4.5
2011/10/21    14:40:36       24.866 94.274      64.6      MYANMAR-INDIA BORDER REGION
5.0 2011/10/20    17:18:35       21.181 70.540      15.5      GUJARAT, INDIA

 
Log Entry #27 - Wednesday Oct 19th (8.49 PM AEST) Print E-mail

New Trans-Equatorial Coronal hole (CH480) looks like it may produce a significant earthquake in the coming days, I have
isolated 5-7° North Latitude of this feature on the solar corona and mapped symmetrically to earth to provide possible
locations where this earthquake could be. analysis confirms a strong impulsive shock could result once this coronal hole
moves away from the earthfacing position. Areas in line for this event are:

Ethiopia/Sudan
Nicobar Islands
South Of Panama/Colombia
Mindaneo, Philippines

 

Forecast - (5.8 Magnitude
Time Frame suggests Oct 22-24

*Confirmed Via USGS*
5.3
2011/10/23    03:26:31       7.693 134.705      58.9      PALAU REGION

*Confirmed Via GA*
5.4 2011/10/23    03:26:35       7.570 134.695      105       WEST CAROLINE ISLANDS, MICRONESIA

 
Log Entry #26 - Sunday Oct 16th (09.28 PM AEST) PDF Print E-mail

A new Coronal depression on the solar corona has formed and migrating south, its current position is 44-47° South Latitude.
Solar symmetry does indicate one strong earthquake from this feature is possible. Areas that could be affected are:


Christchurch, New Zealand
Aisen, Chile
South Of Australia
Auckland Islands



Forecast - (5.5 Magnitude)
Time Frame suggests Oct 19-20

*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.0
2011/10/19    20:45:12      -45.712 -77.338      15.3      OFF THE COAST OF AISEN, CHILE
5.2 2011/10/20    16:07:24      -52.525 140.220     10.3      WEST OF MACQUARIE ISLAND

 
Log Entry #25 - Sunday Oct 16th (09.21 PM AEST) Print E-mail

A deep earthquake that registered 5.0 Magnitude in the Kermadec Islands Region (211km) earlier today. Indicates a possible
shallow earthquake along the meridian towards the Indonesian/Papua new guinea junction. Areas that could be affected by
this meridian migration are:


Papua, Indonesia
Kepulauan Aru Region, Indonesia
Arafura Sea



Forecast - (5.8 Magnitude)
Time Frame suggests Oct 17-19

*Confirmed Via USGS*

6.0 2011/10/18    05:05:06 -5.872 151.001 21.0 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

 
Log Entry #24 - Sunday Oct 16th (09.19 PM AEST) Print E-mail

A very deep earthquake that registered 4.5 Magnitude in the South Of The Fiji Islands Region(510km) earlier today. Indicates
a possible shallow earthquake along the meridian towards the Indonesian/Papua new guinea junction. Areas that could be
affected by this meridian migration are:


Papua, Indonesia
New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea
Eastern New Guinea Region, Papua New Guinea



Forecast - (5.3-5.6 Magnitude)
Time Frame suggests Oct 17

*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.3 2011/10/17   19:51:55 -5.929 151.039 47.2 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

 
Log Entry #23 - Sunday Oct 16th (09.17 PM AEST) Print E-mail

A lateral coronal shadow located 27-31° South Latitude has opened up strongly the last 36 hours, analysis indicates
a possible ocean based event could be more likely. Best fit mapped regions from the Sun to Earth for this event are:



Kermadec Islands Region
Valpairiso, Chile
San Juan, Argentina
Southern East-Pacific Rise




Forecast - (5.5-5.8 Magnitude)
Time Frame suggests Oct 17-19

*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.2 2011/10/19    10:40:40 -32.290 -13.346      9.8       SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

 
Log Entry #22 - Sunday Oct 16th (09.11PM AEST) Print E-mail

High speed solar wind steam exiting a deep coronal hole in the southern hemisphere(CH479) indicates a possible
earthquake 23-25° S Latitude. Time frame for this event would be once solar winds subside to around 300km/s.
Areas that could be affected are:


South Of The Fiji Islands
South Of Tonga
Antofagasta, Chile
Easter Islands Region
Salta, Argentina



Forecast - (5.3-5.6 Magnitude)
Time Frame suggests Oct 17-18


*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.1 2011/10/19    13:26:03    -22.732 -113.431      10.0      EASTER ISLAND REGION
5.2 2011/10/18    01:39:33    -23.212 -66.584      192.4      JUJUY, ARGENTINA

 
Log Entry #21 - Sunday Oct 16th (09.01PM AEST) Print E-mail

A very deep earthquake that registered 4.6 Magnitude in the Banda Sea (400km) yesterday. Indicates a possible
shallow earthquake along the meridian stretching through the Indian Plate towards the European block. Areas
that could be affected by this meridian migration are:



Southern Greece
Aegean Sea
Western Turkey
Cyprus Region



Forecast - (5.1 Magnitude)
Time Frame suggests Oct 17-18


*USGS Update*

4.9 2011/10/19    06:23:43       37.996 -31.344      12.2      AZORES ISLANDS REGION

 
Log Entry #20 - Sunday Oct 2nd (11.56 pm AEST) Print E-mail

Very deep earthquake that registered 5.1 Magnitude in the South Of Fiji Region (523km) back on the
1st October indicates a possble shallow earthquake along the meridian towards the indonesian/papua
new guinea junction. Areas that could be affected by this meridian migration are:

 

Papua, Indonesia
New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea

 

Forecast - (5.4-5.6 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Oct 4-5

*Confirmed Via USGS*

5.2      2011/10/03   08:57:52      -5.161 152.635      57.4      NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

 
Log Entry #19 - Sunday Sep 25th (11.31 pm AEST) Print E-mail

New Coronal Hole (CH477) on the solar corona has formed across the 18-22° South Latitude zones. Solar
symmetry does indicate a strong earthquake is possible. Areas that could be affected are:

 

Loyalty Islands
Fiji Region
Vanuatu Region
Tonga

 

Forecast - (5.7-6.1 Magnitude)
Time Frame
suggests Sep 30

*USGS Indicates Earthquake Swarm*

5.2 2011/09/27   17:42:33      -22.887 171.933      39.4      SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS
5.3 2011/09/28   17:36:14      -22.941 171.841      21.4      SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS
5.1 2011/09/28   17:56:34      -22.953 171.940      19.9      SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS
5.1 2011/10/01   23:20:15      -25.052 -179.786      523      SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS

 
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